Many people are expressing their views that the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) won many seats in 2008 due to voter apathy or voter disgust with BN and not voter's love or support for Pakatan's policies and leaders. To me this is pure crap as the very main reason for the BN to have lost that many seats in 2008 is simply due
to the fact that it overstayed its role as a government while the Opposition under Anwar Ibrahim offered the most glamorous alternative ever in Malaysian political history.
Had the Malaysians voted against BN due to apathy and disgust, does it mean the Malaysian voters are without soul that they just vote against their 'favorite'
BN? I believe that as long as their is a choice to make, the people are free to make that choice and take steps for that and they decided to vote PR because PR
had more glamor than BN's old stories...
I think that is more plausible an explanation as I myself I expected
observers has very little expertise (ah let alone the pro-BN blogger community)on how to understand, foresee and even predict a mass defeat of the BN. They were taken by surprise by the results in 2008 and this even shocked Tun Mahathir who wake up everyday thinking he has control of every single thing in Malaysia.
The shock was so great that
Today, they are still living in this denial as they are contemplating a massive victory in the
next General Elections.
Well let me tell you what will happen in the next G.E. and this with or without
the support of bloggers and activists like Raja Petra or others:
As for 2011 or 2012, I can foresee PR making more gains than 2008 but that does not mean they will win the Elections overall. However, I believe firmly that BN will lose more seats than ever before in its history and PR will be that close to take power, thus forcing an almost hung Parliament - which will be the first time in Malaysia's History - and this will also mean a possible Gov of National
Unity or the collapse of BN!
Friday, December 3, 2010
Malaysia Elections; BN to loose more seats than ever before
Tuesday, November 23, 2010
PM Najib Tempted To Prove Tun Mahathir Wrong On Election
According to information from some circles, Malaysia may go to polls as early as
next year. This may be an attempt by the Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak to prove
his mentor and former PM Tun Mahathir wrong on his popularity and capacity to
regain the sacred 2/3rd majority in Parliament.
The former PM said Barisan may win one or two states back from the Pakatan
Rakyat (PR) but he also added that the Barisan National (BN) will not win back
its 2/3rd majority. This statement from Tun Mahathir is indication that he is
not advising PM Najib on holding the elections as soon as next year.
However, indications are out that elections may come as early as next year, with
the PM being under pressure to 'prove' that he is capable of better performances
than his predecessor, Abdullah Ahmad Badawi.
“I think the by-elections are quite indicative of rising support for Barisan but
we must not take it for granted.” said Prime Minister Najib Tun Razak in reply
to a question from The Star newspaper.
On the other hand, local analysts insist that it is more favourable for the
ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition to call for snap polls in 2012, amid
speculation it will be held as early as next March, said the Malaysian Insider
today.
The Military in Malaysia think elections will be sooner than expected, which is
what I reported here last week.
One important factor to considered is the Sarawak state polls which should take
place by next year since Sarawak went to polls a two years before Peninsular
Malaysia. The BN has always used the Sarawak polls to galvanize its forces for
the General Elections. The massive victory in Sarawak has always been an
indication of the 'health' of the BN coalition.
But Tun Mahathir has teased Najib on many occasions about the PM's popularity
and BN's capacity to win back the sacred 2/3rd seats in Parliament. He even said
hold the polls early if the PM thought his popularity was undoubted.
Since the decision to decide on the day for the holding of the polls rests with
the PM, it may not be surprising that Malaysia goes to polls as early as 2011.
The PM may be tempted to prove to Tun Mahathir that he is popular and could bury
the era of Abdullah Ahmad Badawi, an era despised by Tun Mahathir, once and for
all!
Friday, November 19, 2010
Malaysia Heading For Snap Polls amid 'Islamic state' squabble
Malaysia is heading for snap polls amid a controversy about the 'Islamic state'
and a perceived return of popularity for the Barisan National (BN). In the midst
of these indicators, don't forget to see the pace of roads being asphalted and
the aggressive manner the pro-BN press is hammering Anwar Ibrahim together with
the recent turmoil that shook the Party Keadilaan Rakyat (PKR).
In military circles, it is hinted that snap polls are for next year and it will
be announced right after the breaking-ground activities of a multitude of
'development' and 'construction' projects by the Prime Minister, Najib Tun
Razak.
In the mean time, the government is taking heed of the advice from Tun Mahathir
Mohamad, our former PM that the opposition is in disarray and has lost its
glitter hence the ruling party can take advantage of that situation along with
the rise of the 'Perkasa' to form a not so powerful regime after the elections.
According to Tun Mahathir, the ruling coalition can re-gain at least two states
from the Pakatan opposition. In his own words however, he said that 'maybe Najib
can win back 'one' or two states', which is a coherent form of 'uncertainty' by
the former PM himself.
On the other hand, Abdullah Badawi said it was an 'insult' as he was asked to
comment on a statement by Anwar that he considered it an insult when countries
hailed Malaysia as a modern Islamic nation. This piece of crap from Bernama does
not explain anything except that there is confusion in the 'editorial' boards of
the National news organization's way of writing news pieces!
What it had to mean was that Abdullah Badawi, trying to play a bigger role in
the upcoming elections - remember he is still an MP at Kepala Batas - is saying
that Anwar insulted Malaysia when he told the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) that it
was something like ridiculous for Malaysia to be seen as a 'modern' Islamic
state since Malaysia was not an 'Islamic state'.
The question that was making havoc in 2007, whether Malaysia is an 'Islamic
state' or not, is back. This time Anwar Ibrahim is accused of insulting
Malaysia. Lets take the issue to task for a minute. If Malaysia was an Islamic
state, it would have directed all 'rape', sodomy, wife beating, stealing and
other cases to the 'Syariah courts' as there would be no need for Muslims to be
tried in non-Islamic courts for that matter.
Then if that was the case, the second sodomy saga against Anwar Ibrahim would
have to be brought to the Syariah courts, not to the high courts! And the
threats of putting Anwar Ibrahim behind bars for 20 years would have vanished
just like that since under the Syariah, the prosecution and the accusers need 4
witnesses to 'prove' that they saw Anwar Ibrahim in the act - which is not the
case since there are no four witnesses.
Or is it possible that in a 'Modern' Islamic state, the Syariah courts are
substituted for political reasons by the 'conventional' British inherited
courts? The answer to this question is vital but we do not have the answer here
so we leave it to the political mavericks to battle hard on it!
Nevertheless, Malaysia is heading for polls amid the controversy that 'Allah'
cannot be used by non-Malays and the fact that people who were once patting in
'muddy waters' are accusing Anwar Ibrahim of 'heresy.
Among other facts, the Bernama insisted that Anwar Ibrahim made his statement on
the 'Islamic state' because he was trying to 'regain' international support
after 'supposedly' being dropped by Hilary Clinton on the 'sodomy' issue. Now we
know who are the real 'friends' of Hilary Clinton, that is if it is not Anwar
Ibrahim, then who else than BN?Tuesday, November 16, 2010
The Malaysian Tea Party
Malaysians love tea, they love the 'Teh Tarik' in particular but they also do
love Teh O' Ais Limau. As a matter of fact, it is not surprising to say that the
most popular drink in this country is 'tea'. However, this article is not about
tea itself but about America's 'Tea parties' that helped a broken down, almost
destroyed Republican Party (GOP) wrestle the 'house' from Barack Obama!
Malaysia-Today's chief, Raja Petra Kamaruddin is riding the horseback against
the local opposition parties, accusing them of flinching in their quest for
power and in abandoning many of the promises made during the 2008 General
Elections.Raja Petra is also fighting for the creation of a 'third force' not
to counter the Pakatan Rakyat (PR) but on the contrary to give the PR a boost by
keeping 'civil societies' and ethnic groups together for the next General
Elections, which may be held in 6 months time if we are believe rumors.
According to some logic, a third force in Malaysia will only contribute to a
distraught performance by the PR in the next elections.Raja Petra however does
not agree with this theory as he insists in his editorials on Malaysia-Today
that such a force, grouping the civil societies, the loose coalitions that
supported the PR in 2008 and surely the group of 'liberal' thinking people will
only add more power to the PR.
As a matter of fact, the PR is in need of
additional support in the wake of the recent poor performances by the opposition
coalition in the by-elections and the waves of dissent that has rocked the Party
Keadilaan Rakyat (PKR) in particular. The Party Islam Se-Malaysia (PAS) is only recuperating from the near break-away last year when members of the party wanted
to sacrifice the PAS to join the United Malays National Organization (Umno).
The Umno has in a sense outpaced the opposition in this direction with the
creation of its own 'back-up' group called the Perkasa which is the creation of
a Malay group who is not satisfied with the Malays losing their 'Ketuanan' role.
Ketuanan would mean the bosses, the leading ethnic group and the group that
controls the political strings in the country. With the advent of Anwar Ibrahim
– rather his return – on the political scene since 2004, the 'extreme' Malays
found themselves losing their prerogatives with Anwar Ibrahim taking the lead as
the most popular, most supported Malay political figure in the country.
The
jailed leader came out of the black box to emerge as the potential Prime
Minister of Malaysia, surpassing Tun Mahathir in popularity and beating the Umno
in the 2008 General Elections only to remain in opposition after the 'betrayal'
of 30 Barisan National (BN) members who apparently gave him their word they will
join his PR to form a new government.
The group Perkasa may be object of the most famous 'jokes' in blogs across
Malaysia but this does not mean the group is not doing ground work jobs to bring
back the Malays into the Umno folds.Using very crafted languages that could
stir trouble in a non-Muslim majority country, the Perkasa is telling the Malays
they are losing to the Chinese and will lose to the Indians if Anwar Ibrahim
wins the next General Elections. They are also pressing the Najib Razak regime
to turn 1Malaysia into a 1Malay 'Ketuanan' political and economic force. The
group has non other than Tun Mahathir as the 'mentor' as they have his absolute
support.
In the end, they are doing their job as the 'invisible' force that is pulling
strings among the Malays in an attempt at eroding Anwar Ibrahim's powerful grip on a significant percentage of the Malay-Muslim community in the country.
Hence, the role of a 'third force' acting as the Malaysian 'Tea Party' in
reflection to the Republican Party's Tea Party in the US, is paying out for the
Umno. Thus, Raja Petra would be right to create the 'third force' but only if
the 'third force' will have for aim the destabilization of the Perkasa and the
regrouping of the 'PR' supporters under one roof, one leadership, that of Anwar
Ibrahim.
There is no way the PR or any other opposition force to defeat the BN or the
Umno without Anwar Ibrahim as the future Prime Minister and this the Chinese,
Indian and many of the Malay community supporting the PR knows it well. In the
event the 'civil societies' are 'fed-up' with the political force within the PR,
they have to regroup themselves under a single force that will support the PR
and counter the Perkasa. Countering the Perkasa will be the most ardent task as
they will have to deal with Tun Mahathir, the maverick Malaysian politician who
is not afraid of using the 'race' card in order to regain popularity.
While a third force will not be the only plausible answer to the 'Perkasa', the
PR too has to revamp its 'manifesto' to include elements that will galvanize its
supporters and literally 'steal' the BN supporters in the next General
Elections!Friday, November 12, 2010
Tuesday, November 9, 2010
Nalla, Ezam, Zul crying wolf form the wolf's den!
Malaysia's political scene is very murky, dirty and filled with backstabbing. This is nothing new but in the recent days, we witnessed the anti-Anwar Ibrahim bashing from a 'triumvirate' of former pro-Anwar Ibrahim preachers that left a very noxious feeling.
The non-stop bashing of Anwar Ibrahim by the three stooges who were formerly clinging to Anwar's neck is not surprising at all. They left Anwar to join the cohorts of anti-Anwar campaigners with the sole aim to cause suffering to the opposition leader and to destroy (at least attempt) the opposition. Their campaign is however causing more people to hate the ruling coalition instead and this will be proven in the near future indeed.
What the strategic planners of the Barisan National (BN) are not taking into consideration is that the daily attacks on Anwar is making the opposition leader into a household name in Malaysia – as if he was not already – but a household name that the BN cannot do without to the extent that the BN propaganda machinery has to invent stories and bring stooges to talk about him!
The fact remains that the Nalla, the Ezam and the Zul are crying wolf about Anwar and Anwar's attempt at becoming the next Prime Minister of Malaysia, which is the legitimate right of any Malaysian (Malay) politician. These stooges have the perfect idea that they will never be in a position to be the Prime Ministers of Malaysia hence their jealousy that Anwar is in the right place to be on top sooner or later!
The other thing is they have failed though to realize that they are crying wolf right from the very den of the wolves itself and they expect the sane people of the country to believe their cries. The story goes that when the real wolf come for the one who cried wolf too much too early, no body will believe them and they will be the ones who will be swallowed by the wolves!
The pitiful thing is that all three of them seem to have lost their souls and have no qualms in carrying out their daily harping about Anwar.
Now, with the Zaid Ibrahim episode which will surely end in Zaid Ibrahim being kicked out of the party Keadilaan, we can see the strategy of the BN clearly. The three were calling for Anwar to leave the political scene, to retire from politics. Today it is Zaid who is calling on Anwar to resign as leader of the party. This smells the rotten fish of local politics.
How is it that Zaid suddenly joins the gang of goons and clowns by calling on his leader, the man without whom the PKR would be inexistant, to quit the leadership of the party unless it is a clear attempt at overthrowing Anwar from his party?
Well, the dots are now connected and now that we know where the wolve's den is, we also know why Zaid is doing what he is doing...and this is what I am hearing from my visits to cafe's and restaurants!
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